Today / Peru - Segunda División / Carlos A. Mannucci vs Cesar Vallejo

Carlos A. Mannucci vs Cesar Vallejo Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Matchday 14 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 20:30

Carlos A. Mannucci

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cesar Vallejo

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.00 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.7%0-16.7%0-21.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.4%1-19.8%1-22.3%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.6%2-17.2%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-07.6%3-13.5%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-11.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.2% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 15.9% — — —

Over 2.5 38.8% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 15.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.6%

H 57% / xG 1.5-0.5 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.4%

#2 0–0 14.7%

#3 2–0 15.6%

#4 1–1 9.8%

#5 3–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Carlos A. Mannucci1.5

Cesar Vallejo0.5

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CARLOS A. MANNUCCI · PPG 2.60

CESAR VALLEJO · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.00 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Carlos A. Mannucci (H) 57.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cesar Vallejo (A) 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Carlos A. Mannucci face Cesar Vallejo in Peru - Segunda División on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Carlos A. Mannucci a 57% chance, the draw 27% and Cesar Vallejo 16%, so Carlos A. Mannucci are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Carlos A. Mannucci and 0.5 for Cesar Vallejo (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Carlos A. Mannucci are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 0.40 for Cesar Vallejo.

Carlos A. Mannucci vs Cesar Vallejo Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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