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Deportivo Binacional vs Minas Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Matchday 13 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

Deportivo Binacional

PPG 0.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Minas

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.5%0-118.4%0-29.2%0-33.1%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.8%1-112.7%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.4%2-14.4%2-22.2%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.0%3-11.0%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.0% — — —

Draw 32.8% — — —

Away win 39.2% — — —

Over 2.5 36.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.1% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 30.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 79%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.5%

A 39% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.5%

#2 0–1 18.4%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 1–0 12.8%

#5 0–2 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Binacional0.7

Minas1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO BINACIONAL · PPG 0.40

MINAS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.31, combined xG 1.69 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Binacional (H) 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Minas (A) 39.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Binacional face Minas in Peru - Segunda División on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Binacional a 28% chance, the draw 33% and Minas 39%, so Minas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Deportivo Binacional and 1.0 for Minas (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Binacional are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Minas.

Deportivo Binacional vs Minas Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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