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Ayacucho FC vs Estudiantil CNI Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Matchday 13 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 16:00

Ayacucho FC

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Estudiantil CNI

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-17.7%0-22.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.4%1-111.6%1-24.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.4%2-18.8%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.3%3-14.5%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-12.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.6% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 20.9% — — —

Over 2.5 48.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 79%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 86%

Score Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.4%

H 55% / xG 1.5-0.7 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.4%

#2 1–1 11.6%

#3 0–0 10.8%

#4 2–0 12.4%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ayacucho FC1.5

Estudiantil CNI0.7

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AYACUCHO FC · PPG 1.00

ESTUDIANTIL CNI · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ayacucho FC (H) 54.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Estudiantil CNI (A) 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ayacucho FC face Estudiantil CNI in Peru - Segunda División on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ayacucho FC a 55% chance, the draw 25% and Estudiantil CNI 21%, so Ayacucho FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Ayacucho FC and 0.7 for Estudiantil CNI (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ayacucho FC are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.40 for Estudiantil CNI.

Ayacucho FC vs Estudiantil CNI Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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