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Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Deportivo Llacuabamba Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 20:15

Deportiva Agropecuaria

PPG 1.40 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Deportivo Llacuabamba

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.0%0-116.8%0-27.4%0-32.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.8%1-113.0%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-05.7%2-15.1%2-22.2%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.5%3-11.3%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.6% 43.5% 2.30 -15.8%

Draw 33.6% 31.3% 3.20 +7.5%

Away win 29.9% 36.4% 2.75 -10.7%

Over 2.5 36.3% 45.5% 2.20 -20.1%

Over 3.5 18.1% 26.2% 3.82 -18.5%

BTTS 45.5% 54.3% 1.84 -16.3%

Home O1.5 32.1% 39.8% 2.51 -19.4%

Away O1.5 23.9% 35.7% 2.80 -19.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.5%

D 34% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 19.0%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 0–1 16.8%

#4 1–0 14.8%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportiva Agropecuaria0.8

Deportivo Llacuabamba0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVA AGROPECUARIA · PPG 1.40

DEPORTIVO LLACUABAMBA · PPG 1.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.11, combined xG 1.66 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportiva Agropecuaria (H) 36.6%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -15.8%

Draw 33.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +7.5%

Deportivo Llacuabamba (A) 29.9%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -10.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportiva Agropecuaria face Deportivo Llacuabamba in Peru - Segunda División on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportiva Agropecuaria a 37% chance, the draw 34% and Deportivo Llacuabamba 30%, so Deportiva Agropecuaria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Deportiva Agropecuaria and 0.9 for Deportivo Llacuabamba (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportiva Agropecuaria are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Deportivo Llacuabamba. This match finished 0-0.

Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Deportivo Llacuabamba Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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