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Minas vs Ayacucho FC Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:00

Minas

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ayacucho FC

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.0%0-19.3%0-21.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-025.4%1-19.4%1-21.7%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.9%2-14.8%2-20.9%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.4%3-11.6%3-20.3%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% — — —

Draw 32.8% — — —

Away win 15.3% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 38.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob38.7%

H 52% / xG 1.0-0.4 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.0%

#2 1–0 25.4%

#3 2–0 12.9%

#4 1–1 9.4%

#5 0–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Minas1.0

Ayacucho FC0.4

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MINAS · PPG 1.20

AYACUCHO FC · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Minas (H) 51.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ayacucho FC (A) 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Minas face Ayacucho FC in Peru - Segunda División on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Minas a 52% chance, the draw 33% and Ayacucho FC 15%, so Minas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Minas and 0.4 for Ayacucho FC (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Minas are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.33 for Ayacucho FC.

Minas vs Ayacucho FC Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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