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UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Armenio Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 18:00

UAI Urquiza

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Armenio

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.5%0-117.3%0-27.0%0-31.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.7%1-112.7%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.7%2-14.6%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.4%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 28.2% 3.55 +28.5%

Draw 33.9% 34.7% 2.88 -2.4%

Away win 30.0% 47.6% 2.10 -37.0%

Over 2.5 34.2% 35.1% 2.85 -2.5%

Over 3.5 17.7% 16.7% 6.00 +3.7%

BTTS 44.6% 44.4% 2.25 +0.4%

Home O1.5 30.2% 23.8% 4.20 +26.8%

Away O1.5 21.1% 37.0% 2.70 -25.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 129 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 65%

ROI 26.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.6%

D 34% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.5%

#2 0–1 17.3%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 1–0 15.7%

#5 0–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

UAI Urquiza0.7

Deportivo Armenio0.8

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

UAI URQUIZA · PPG 1.00

DEPORTIVO ARMENIO · PPG 0.93

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.08, combined xG 1.54 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

UAI Urquiza (H) 36.2%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +28.5%

Draw 33.9%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -2.4%

Deportivo Armenio (A) 30.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -37.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

UAI Urquiza face Deportivo Armenio in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UAI Urquiza a 36% chance, the draw 34% and Deportivo Armenio 30%, so UAI Urquiza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for UAI Urquiza and 0.8 for Deportivo Armenio (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UAI Urquiza are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.93 for Deportivo Armenio. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +26.8%.

UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Armenio Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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