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Liniers vs Argentino Quilmes Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 18:00

Liniers

PPG 1.07 · HOME

UPCOMING

Argentino Quilmes

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.3%0-116.2%0-26.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.2%1-112.9%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.5%2-15.2%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.7%3-11.4%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.7% 44.4% 2.25 -19.7%

Draw 34.7% 33.3% 3.00 +4.1%

Away win 29.6% 32.3% 3.10 -4.9%

Over 2.5 34.2% 42.6% 2.35 -19.6%

Over 3.5 15.6% 23.1% 4.33 -19.5%

BTTS 44.6% 51.8% 1.93 -13.9%

Home O1.5 30.2% 40.0% 2.50 -24.5%

Away O1.5 21.1% 31.3% 3.20 -19.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 129 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 65%

ROI 26.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.6%

D 35% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.3%

#2 1–1 12.9%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 0–1 16.2%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Liniers0.8

Argentino Quilmes0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LINIERS · PPG 1.07

ARGENTINO QUILMES · PPG 1.07

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.00, combined xG 1.60 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Liniers (H) 35.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -19.7%

Draw 34.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +4.1%

Argentino Quilmes (A) 29.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Liniers face Argentino Quilmes in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liniers a 36% chance, the draw 35% and Argentino Quilmes 30%, so Liniers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Liniers and 0.8 for Argentino Quilmes (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liniers are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.07 for Argentino Quilmes.

Liniers vs Argentino Quilmes Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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