Today / Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana / Arsenal Sarandi vs Talleres Remedios

Arsenal Sarandi vs Talleres Remedios Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 30 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:00

Arsenal Sarandi logo
Arsenal Sarandi
PPG 2.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Talleres Remedios logo
Talleres Remedios
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-114.9%0-26.5%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.2%1-113.3%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.8%2-16.0%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.0%3-11.8%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.7% 40.0% 2.50 -13.3%
Draw 32.4% 33.3% 3.00 -2.8%
Away win 32.8% 36.4% 2.75 -9.8%
Over 2.5 37.0% 40.8% 2.45 -9.3%
Over 3.5 19.5% 22.2% 4.50 -7.3%
BTTS 47.7% 51.3% 1.95 -7.0%
Home O1.5 30.2% 36.4% 2.75 -17.0%
Away O1.5 23.2% 33.3% 3.00 -18.2%

League track record

Based on 129 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%
O2.5 72%
BTTS 62%
Score Hit 65%
ROI 26.0%
Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.7%

D 32% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.1%
#2 1–1 13.3%
#3 1–0 15.2%
#4 0–1 14.9%
#5 2–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Arsenal Sarandi0.9
Talleres Remedios0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ARSENAL SARANDI · PPG 2.00

TALLERES REMEDIOS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.02, combined xG 1.77 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Arsenal Sarandi (H) 34.7%
ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -13.3%
Draw 32.4%
ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -2.8%
Talleres Remedios (A) 32.8%
ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -9.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Arsenal Sarandi face Talleres Remedios in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arsenal Sarandi a 35% chance, the draw 32% and Talleres Remedios 33%, so Arsenal Sarandi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Arsenal Sarandi and 0.9 for Talleres Remedios (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arsenal Sarandi are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Talleres Remedios.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org