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San Martín Burzaco vs Comunicaciones Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Matchday 30 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:00

San Martín Burzaco

PPG 0.93 · HOME

UPCOMING

Comunicaciones

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.2%0-113.2%0-26.6%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.5%1-113.5%1-26.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.9%2-16.9%2-23.5%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.4%3-12.4%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.5% 38.5% 2.60 -7.7%

Draw 29.6% 32.3% 3.10 -4.9%

Away win 34.9% 38.5% 2.60 -9.3%

Over 2.5 42.7% 45.5% 2.20 -6.1%

Over 3.5 21.1% 23.8% 4.20 -6.8%

BTTS 47.7% 54.1% 1.85 -11.8%

Home O1.5 30.2% 37.7% 2.65 -20.0%

Away O1.5 29.2% 37.7% 2.65 -13.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 129 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 65%

ROI 26.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.7%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 13.2%

#3 1–0 13.5%

#4 0–1 13.2%

#5 2–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Martín Burzaco1.0

Comunicaciones1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN MARTÍN BURZACO · PPG 0.93

COMUNICACIONES · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.03, combined xG 2.03 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

San Martín Burzaco (H) 35.5%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -7.7%

Draw 29.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.9%

Comunicaciones (A) 34.9%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -9.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

San Martín Burzaco face Comunicaciones in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Martín Burzaco a 36% chance, the draw 30% and Comunicaciones 35%, so San Martín Burzaco are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for San Martín Burzaco and 1.0 for Comunicaciones (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Martín Burzaco are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.43 for Comunicaciones.

San Martín Burzaco vs Comunicaciones Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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