Today / Once Caldas vs La Equidad
Once Caldas vs La Equidad Prediction
Monday, April 20, 2026
// Model verdict
Home
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 74% / xG 2.7-1.0 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 58%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.0% · O3.5 PROB 50.1%
Form & verdict
ONCE CALDAS · PPG 1.88
LA EQUIDAD · PPG 1.25
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Once Caldas face La Equidad on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Once Caldas a 74% chance, the draw 15% and La Equidad 11%, so Once Caldas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Once Caldas and 1.0 for La Equidad (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Once Caldas are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.25 for La Equidad. This match finished 2-1.