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Punjab vs Inter Kashi Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 9 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 14:00

Punjab

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Inter Kashi

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 60.4% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-16.4%0-22.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.7%1-110.9%1-24.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-19.4%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.1%3-15.3%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-13.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.4% 63.7% 1.57 -5.2%

Draw 23.6% 28.6% 3.50 -17.4%

Away win 16.0% 18.2% 5.50 -12.0%

Over 2.5 44.5% 48.8% 2.05 -8.8%

Over 3.5 23.3% 27.0% 3.70 -13.8%

BTTS 43.1% 50.0% 2.00 -13.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.1%

H 60% / xG 1.7-0.7 / O2.5 44% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.7%

#2 2–0 12.5%

#3 1–1 10.9%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 0–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Punjab1.7

Inter Kashi0.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PUNJAB · PPG 1.67

INTER KASHI · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Punjab (H) 60.4%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -5.2%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -17.4%

Inter Kashi (A) 16.0%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -12.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Punjab face Inter Kashi in India - Indian Super League on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Punjab a 60% chance, the draw 24% and Inter Kashi 16%, so Punjab are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Punjab and 0.7 for Inter Kashi (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Punjab are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.60 for Inter Kashi. This match finished 3-0.

Punjab vs Inter Kashi Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More India - Indian Super League Predictions