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Vaajakoski vs GBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:00

Vaajakoski

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

GBK

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-12.1%0-22.3%0-31.8%0-4+1.7%1 1-02.3%1-15.1%1-25.7%1-34.3%1-4+4.1%2 2-02.7%2-16.2%2-26.9%2-35.2%2-4+4.9%3 3-02.2%3-15.0%3-25.6%3-34.2%3-4+4.0%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-15.4%4+-26.1%4+-34.6%4+-4+4.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.6% 44.4% 2.25 +0.4%

Draw 21.0% 26.3% 3.80 -12.1%

Away win 34.4% 42.6% 2.35 -19.2%

Over 2.5 75.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% 68.5% 1.46 -20.3%

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 64.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob69.4%

H 45% / xG 2.4-2.2 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.9%

#2 2–1 6.2%

#3 1–1 5.1%

#4 1–2 5.7%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vaajakoski2.4

GBK2.2

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VAAJAKOSKI · PPG 1.50

GBK · PPG 2.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vaajakoski (H) 44.6%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +0.4%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -12.1%

GBK (A) 34.4%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -19.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vaajakoski face GBK in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vaajakoski a 45% chance, the draw 21% and GBK 34%, so Vaajakoski are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Vaajakoski and 2.2 for GBK (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vaajakoski are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.00 for GBK.

Vaajakoski vs GBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group C Predictions