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Jaro 2 vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Group C ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 15:30

Jaro 2

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

JBK

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.8%0-22.0%0-31.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-02.2%1-14.8%1-25.1%1-33.7%1-4+3.2%2 2-02.9%2-16.3%2-26.7%2-34.8%2-4+4.2%3 3-02.6%3-15.5%3-25.9%3-34.2%3-4+3.7%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-16.7%4+-27.2%4+-35.2%4+-4+4.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 28.8% — — —

Over 2.5 74.4% — — —

Over 3.5 54.1% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 54.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob69.6%

H 50% / xG 2.6-2.1 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.7%

#2 2–1 6.3%

#3 3–2 5.9%

#4 1–1 4.8%

#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jaro 22.6

JBK2.1

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.4% · O3.5 PROB 54.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JARO 2 · PPG 2.29

JBK · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.48 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jaro 2 (H) 49.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

JBK (A) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jaro 2 face JBK in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jaro 2 a 50% chance, the draw 21% and JBK 29%, so Jaro 2 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Jaro 2 and 2.1 for JBK (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jaro 2 are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.57 for JBK.

Jaro 2 vs JBK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C

Match Preview & Prediction

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