Today / Finland - Kakkonen Group C / VPS II vs Jaro 2
VPS II vs Jaro 2 Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group C
Group C ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 15:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 7.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 70% / xG 5.0-2.0 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 70%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 7.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.6% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%
Form & verdict
VPS II · PPG 1.71
JARO 2 · PPG 1.29
xG gap +2.92 for Home, form 1.71 vs 1.29 - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
VPS II face Jaro 2 in Finland - Kakkonen Group C on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VPS II a 70% chance, the draw 16% and Jaro 2 15%, so VPS II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.0 for VPS II and 2.0 for Jaro 2 (7.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VPS II are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.29 for Jaro 2.