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Club America U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 15:00

Club America U21

PPG 1.55 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atl. San Luis U21

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.28 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.1%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.8%1-18.9%1-24.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.7%2-19.8%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.9%3-17.2%3-23.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-16.6%4+-23.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 22.1% — — —

Over 2.5 58.3% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 24.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 55% / xG 2.2-0.9 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.7%

#2 1–1 8.9%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 9.8%

#5 3–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Club America U212.2

Atl. San Luis U210.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.3% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CLUB AMERICA U21 · PPG 1.55

ATL. SAN LUIS U21 · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.28 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Club America U21 (H) 55.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Atl. San Luis U21 (A) 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Club America U21 face Atl. San Luis U21 in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Club America U21 a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Atl. San Luis U21 22%, so Club America U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Club America U21 and 0.9 for Atl. San Luis U21 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Club America U21 are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.82 for Atl. San Luis U21.

Club America U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Match Preview & Prediction

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