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Club America U21 vs Santos Laguna U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Regular Season - 3 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:00

Club America U21

PPG 1.66 · HOME

UPCOMING

Santos Laguna U21

PPG 1.66 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-16.7%0-23.1%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.4%1-111.4%1-25.2%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.6%2-19.7%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.0%3-15.5%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.4%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 23.8% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 25.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 50% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–0 12.4%

#3 2–0 10.6%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Club America U211.7

Santos Laguna U210.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CLUB AMERICA U21 · PPG 1.66

SANTOS LAGUNA U21 · PPG 1.66

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Club America U21 (H) 49.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Santos Laguna U21 (A) 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Club America U21 face Santos Laguna U21 in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Club America U21 a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Santos Laguna U21 24%, so Club America U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Club America U21 and 0.9 for Santos Laguna U21 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Club America U21 are averaging 1.66 points per game versus 1.66 for Santos Laguna U21.

Club America U21 vs Santos Laguna U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Match Preview & Prediction

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