Today / Mexico - Liga MX U21 / Club Leon U21 vs Pachuca U21
Club Leon U21 vs Pachuca U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21
Regular Season - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 45% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 49%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%
Form & verdict
CLUB LEON U21 · PPG 1.95
PACHUCA U21 · PPG 1.59
xG gap +0.35, combined xG 2.09 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Club Leon U21 face Pachuca U21 in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Club Leon U21 a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Pachuca U21 25%, so Club Leon U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Club Leon U21 and 0.9 for Pachuca U21 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Club Leon U21 are averaging 1.95 points per game versus 1.59 for Pachuca U21.