Today / Mexico - Liga MX U21 / Atlas U21 vs Monterrey U21
Atlas U21 vs Monterrey U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21
Regular Season - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
xG gap +0.18, combined xG 2.43 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 45% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%
Form & verdict
ATLAS U21 · PPG 1.75
MONTERREY U21 · PPG 1.52
xG gap +0.18, combined xG 2.43 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Atlas U21 face Monterrey U21 in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlas U21 a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Monterrey U21 28%, so Atlas U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Atlas U21 and 1.1 for Monterrey U21 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlas U21 are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.52 for Monterrey U21.