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Monterrey U21 vs Juarez U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:00

Monterrey U21

PPG 1.31 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juarez U21

PPG 1.24 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-17.2%0-23.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.1%1-111.6%1-24.8%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.3%2-19.4%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.1%3-15.0%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-12.9%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.5% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 21.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.7%

H 49% / xG 1.6-0.8 / O2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–0 14.1%

#3 2–0 11.3%

#4 0–0 8.8%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Monterrey U211.6

Juarez U210.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MONTERREY U21 · PPG 1.31

JUAREZ U21 · PPG 1.24

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.78 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Monterrey U21 (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juarez U21 (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Monterrey U21 face Juarez U21 in Mexico - Liga MX U21 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Monterrey U21 a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Juarez U21 24%, so Monterrey U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Monterrey U21 and 0.8 for Juarez U21 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Monterrey U21 are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.24 for Juarez U21.

Monterrey U21 vs Juarez U21 Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX U21

Match Preview & Prediction

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