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Kjelsås vs Junkeren Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 15:00

Kjelsås

PPG 2.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Junkeren

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 2.25 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-12.8%0-21.4%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.3%1-17.2%1-23.6%1-31.2%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.4%2-19.3%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-08.0%3-18.0%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-09.5%4+-19.4%4+-24.7%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.9% — — —

Draw 17.8% — — —

Away win 15.3% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 27.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob60.3%

H 67% / xG 2.6-1.0 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–1 7.2%

#4 3–0 8.0%

#5 3–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kjelsås2.6

Junkeren1.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KJELSÅS · PPG 2.25

JUNKEREN · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 2.25 vs 0.57 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kjelsås (H) 66.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Junkeren (A) 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kjelsås face Junkeren in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kjelsås a 67% chance, the draw 18% and Junkeren 15%, so Kjelsås are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Kjelsås and 1.0 for Junkeren (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kjelsås are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.57 for Junkeren.

Kjelsås vs Junkeren Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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