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Central Cordoba vs Platense Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Apertura - 15 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 20:15

Central Cordoba

PPG 1.67 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · DRAW

Platense

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Draw

Model probability 52.2% vs bookmaker-implied 36.5% — a clear edge.

+43.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-044.7%0-116.9%0-23.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.0%1 1-019.1%1-17.2%1-21.4%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-04.1%2-11.5%2-20.3%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.6%3-10.2%3-20.0%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.7% 33.3% 3.00 -22.9%

Draw 52.2% 36.5% 2.74 +43.0%

Away win 22.0% 37.0% 2.70 -40.6%

Over 2.5 4.8% 32.3% 3.10 -85.1%

Over 3.5 0.9% 15.4% 6.50 -94.2%

BTTS 10.9% 42.0% 2.38 -74.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -39.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob10.9%

D 52% / xG 0.4-0.4 / U2.5 5% / NoBTTS 11%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 44.7%

#2 1–0 19.1%

#3 0–1 16.9%

#4 1–1 7.2%

#5 2–0 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Cordoba0.4

Platense0.4

COMBINED 0.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 4.8% · O3.5 PROB 0.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL CORDOBA · PPG 1.67

PLATENSE · PPG 1.14

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Central Cordoba (H) 25.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -22.9%

Draw 52.2%

ODDS 2.74 · IMPLIED 36.5% EV +43.0%

Platense (A) 22.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -40.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Cordoba face Platense in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Cordoba a 26% chance, the draw 52% and Platense 22%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.4 for Central Cordoba and 0.4 for Platense (0.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 5% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 11% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Cordoba are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.14 for Platense. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +43.0%. This match finished 4-3.

Central Cordoba vs Platense Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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