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Berazategui vs Fénix Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 24 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 14:00

Berazategui

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fénix

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.9%0-19.4%0-22.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.8%1-111.8%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.3%2-17.3%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.1%3-13.0%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.2% — — —

Draw 31.9% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 34.6% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -64.3%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.6%

H 46% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 19.8%

#2 0–0 15.9%

#3 1–1 11.8%

#4 2–0 12.3%

#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Berazategui1.2

Fénix0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BERAZATEGUI · PPG 1.36

FÉNIX · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Berazategui (H) 46.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fénix (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Berazategui face Fénix in Argentina - Primera C on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Berazategui a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Fénix 22%, so Berazategui are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Berazategui and 0.6 for Fénix (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Berazategui are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 0.82 for Fénix.

Berazategui vs Fénix Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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