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Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 24 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 18:00

Puerto Nuevo

PPG 1.18 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yupanqui

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.9%0-115.5%0-27.1%0-32.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.6%1-113.3%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.3%2-15.7%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.8%3-11.6%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 33.3% — — —

Away win 35.1% — — —

Over 2.5 36.9% — — —

Over 3.5 18.0% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 24.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -64.3%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.7%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.9%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.5%

#4 1–0 14.6%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Puerto Nuevo0.9

Yupanqui0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PUERTO NUEVO · PPG 1.18

YUPANQUI · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.06, combined xG 1.78 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Puerto Nuevo (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yupanqui (A) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Puerto Nuevo face Yupanqui in Argentina - Primera C on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puerto Nuevo a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Yupanqui 35%, so Yupanqui are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Puerto Nuevo and 0.9 for Yupanqui (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puerto Nuevo are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.64 for Yupanqui.

Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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