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Fénix vs Central Ballester Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 23 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 18:00

Fénix

PPG 1.18 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Central Ballester

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-114.8%0-26.1%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.0%1-113.2%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.1%2-15.9%2-22.4%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.8%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.9% — — —

Draw 32.5% — — —

Away win 28.6% — — —

Over 2.5 36.6% — — —

Over 3.5 17.8% — — —

BTTS 46.9% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 21.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -64.3%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.9%

H 39% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.9%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.0%

#4 0–1 14.8%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fénix0.9

Central Ballester0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FÉNIX · PPG 1.18

CENTRAL BALLESTER · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.07, combined xG 1.72 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fénix (H) 38.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Central Ballester (A) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fénix face Central Ballester in Argentina - Primera C on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fénix a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Central Ballester 29%, so Fénix are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Fénix and 0.8 for Central Ballester (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fénix are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.27 for Central Ballester. This match finished 3-1.

Fénix vs Central Ballester Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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