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Tulevik vs Levadia U19 Prediction— Estonia - Esiliiga B

Matchday 23 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 12:00

Tulevik

PPG 1.85 · HOME

UPCOMING

Levadia U19

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.2%0-21.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-03.5%1-15.8%1-24.9%1-32.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-04.6%2-17.8%2-26.5%2-33.6%2-4+2.2%3 3-04.1%3-16.9%3-25.8%3-33.2%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-18.6%4+-27.3%4+-34.1%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.7% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 26.2% — — —

Over 2.5 69.9% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.4%

H 53% / xG 2.7-1.7 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 3–1 6.9%

#3 1–1 5.8%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tulevik2.7

Levadia U191.7

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.9% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TULEVIK · PPG 1.85

LEVADIA U19 · PPG 1.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.98 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tulevik (H) 52.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Levadia U19 (A) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tulevik face Levadia U19 in Estonia - Esiliiga B on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tulevik a 53% chance, the draw 21% and Levadia U19 26%, so Tulevik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Tulevik and 1.7 for Levadia U19 (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tulevik are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.55 for Levadia U19.

Tulevik vs Levadia U19 Prediction— Estonia - Esiliiga B

Match Preview & Prediction

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