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Camioneros vs Defensores U. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 12 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 18:30

Camioneros

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Defensores U.

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.7%0-110.6%0-22.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.1%1-110.8%1-22.5%1-30.4%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.7%2-15.5%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.0%3-11.9%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.6% 45.5% 2.20 +6.9%

Draw 34.8% 35.1% 2.85 -0.8%

Away win 16.6% 29.4% 3.40 -43.6%

Over 2.5 18.7% 35.1% 2.85 -46.7%

Over 3.5 6.4% — — —

BTTS 23.8% 44.4% 2.25 -46.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob23.8%

H 49% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 19% / NoBTTS 24%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 23.1%

#2 0–0 22.7%

#3 2–0 11.7%

#4 1–1 10.8%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Camioneros1.0

Defensores U.0.5

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 18.7% · O3.5 PROB 6.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CAMIONEROS · PPG 1.40

DEFENSORES U. · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Camioneros (H) 48.6%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +6.9%

Draw 34.8%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -0.8%

Defensores U. (A) 16.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -43.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Camioneros face Defensores U. in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Camioneros a 49% chance, the draw 35% and Defensores U. 17%, so Camioneros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Camioneros and 0.5 for Defensores U. (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 24% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Camioneros are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.60 for Defensores U.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.9%. This match finished 1-0.

Camioneros vs Defensores U. Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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