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Seoul E-Land FC vs Ansan Greeners Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 22 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 10:30

Seoul E-Land FC

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ansan Greeners

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-13.8%0-21.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.3%1-18.6%1-24.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.5%2-19.8%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.2%3-17.4%3-23.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-17.2%4+-23.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.3% 76.9% 1.30 -26.8%

Draw 21.8% 20.8% 4.80 +2.8%

Away win 22.0% 11.4% 8.80 +56.2%

Over 2.5 63.4% 66.7% 1.50 -4.9%

Over 3.5 41.1% 44.4% 2.25 -7.5%

BTTS 60.8% 57.1% 1.75 +6.4%

Home O1.5 63.0% 74.1% 1.35 -14.9%

Away O1.5 31.8% 23.1% 4.33 +37.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -27.4%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob60.8%

H 56% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 3–1 7.4%

#5 3–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seoul E-Land FC2.3

Ansan Greeners1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 41.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SEOUL E-LAND FC · PPG 1.78

ANSAN GREENERS · PPG 1.38

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.24 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Seoul E-Land FC (H) 56.3%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -26.8%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +2.8%

Ansan Greeners (A) 22.0%

ODDS 8.80 · IMPLIED 11.4% EV +56.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Seoul E-Land FC face Ansan Greeners in South Korea - K League 2 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seoul E-Land FC a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Ansan Greeners 22%, so Seoul E-Land FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Seoul E-Land FC and 1.0 for Ansan Greeners (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seoul E-Land FC are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.38 for Ansan Greeners. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +40.8%.

Seoul E-Land FC vs Ansan Greeners Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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