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Suwon Bluewings vs Suwon City FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 10:30

Suwon Bluewings

PPG 2.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

Suwon City FC

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-19.3%0-25.4%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.9%1-112.7%1-27.4%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.4%2-18.6%2-25.0%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.4%3-13.9%3-22.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.7% 48.8% 2.05 -18.6%

Draw 25.3% 28.6% 3.50 -6.9%

Away win 35.0% 31.3% 3.20 +12.0%

Over 2.5 51.1% 60.6% 1.65 -15.7%

Over 3.5 30.0% 38.5% 2.60 -22.0%

BTTS 53.1% 65.4% 1.53 -18.8%

Home O1.5 37.9% 54.1% 1.85 -29.9%

Away O1.5 34.7% 41.7% 2.40 -16.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -27.4%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.1%

H 40% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.0%

#3 1–0 10.9%

#4 2–1 8.6%

#5 0–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suwon Bluewings1.4

Suwon City FC1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SUWON BLUEWINGS · PPG 2.10

SUWON CITY FC · PPG 1.82

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Suwon Bluewings (H) 39.7%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -18.6%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.9%

Suwon City FC (A) 35.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +12.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Suwon Bluewings face Suwon City FC in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suwon Bluewings a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Suwon City FC 35%, so Suwon Bluewings are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Suwon Bluewings and 1.2 for Suwon City FC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suwon Bluewings are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.82 for Suwon City FC.

Suwon Bluewings vs Suwon City FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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