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Westerlo U21 vs Beerschot U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Regular Season - 23 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 18:00

Westerlo U21

PPG 2.30 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Beerschot U21

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.0%0-22.0%0-31.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-02.5%1-15.1%1-25.2%1-33.6%1-4+2.9%2 2-03.2%2-16.6%2-26.8%2-34.6%2-4+3.8%3 3-02.8%3-15.7%3-25.9%3-34.0%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-16.9%4+-27.1%4+-34.8%4+-4+4.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.5% — — —

Draw 18.6% — — —

Away win 30.9% — — —

Over 2.5 84.2% — — —

Over 3.5 68.1% — — —

BTTS 80.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 94%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 41.4%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob80.6%

H 50% / xG 2.6-2.0 / O2.5 84% / BTTS 81%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.8%

#2 2–1 6.6%

#3 3–2 5.9%

#4 3–1 5.7%

#5 1–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Westerlo U212.6

Beerschot U212.0

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 84.2% · O3.5 PROB 68.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WESTERLO U21 · PPG 2.30

BEERSCHOT U21 · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.30) vs P(Home)=50.5%

Win probability 1X2

Westerlo U21 (H) 50.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Beerschot U21 (A) 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Westerlo U21 face Beerschot U21 in Belgium - Reserve Pro League on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Westerlo U21 a 51% chance, the draw 19% and Beerschot U21 31%, so Westerlo U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Westerlo U21 and 2.0 for Beerschot U21 (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 81% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Westerlo U21 are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 0.60 for Beerschot U21. This match finished 4-1.

Westerlo U21 vs Beerschot U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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