Today / Australia - NPL Northern NSW / Charlestown City Blues vs Edgeworth Eagles

Charlestown City Blues vs Edgeworth Eagles Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Matchday 19 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 10:00

Charlestown City Blues

PPG 0.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

Edgeworth Eagles

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-15.7%0-26.8%0-35.4%0-4+5.7%1 1-03.2%1-17.7%1-29.2%1-37.3%1-4+7.7%2 2-02.2%2-15.2%2-26.2%2-34.9%2-4+5.2%3 3-01.0%3-12.3%3-22.8%3-32.2%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.1%4+-21.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.2% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 55.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.4% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 64.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 24%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob63.3%

A 56% / xG 1.3-2.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.2%

#2 1–1 7.7%

#3 1–3 7.3%

#4 0–2 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Charlestown City Blues1.3

Edgeworth Eagles2.4

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CHARLESTOWN CITY BLUES · PPG 0.70

EDGEWORTH EAGLES · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.04 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Charlestown City Blues (H) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Edgeworth Eagles (A) 55.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Charlestown City Blues face Edgeworth Eagles in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charlestown City Blues a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Edgeworth Eagles 56%, so Edgeworth Eagles are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Charlestown City Blues and 2.4 for Edgeworth Eagles (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charlestown City Blues are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 0.89 for Edgeworth Eagles.

Charlestown City Blues vs Edgeworth Eagles Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Match Preview & Prediction

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