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Kahibah vs Maitland Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Matchday 17 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 10:00

Kahibah

PPG 1.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

Maitland

PPG 2.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-15.6%0-26.0%0-34.4%0-4+3.9%1 1-03.8%1-18.3%1-29.0%1-36.5%1-4+5.9%2 2-02.9%2-16.2%2-26.7%2-34.9%2-4+4.4%3 3-01.4%3-13.1%3-23.4%3-32.4%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.6%4+-21.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.5% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 45.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.7% — — —

Over 3.5 42.7% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 56.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 24%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.3%

A 46% / xG 1.5-2.2 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kahibah1.5

Maitland2.2

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.7% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KAHIBAH · PPG 1.11

MAITLAND · PPG 2.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.68 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Kahibah (H) 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Maitland (A) 45.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kahibah face Maitland in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kahibah a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Maitland 46%, so Maitland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Kahibah and 2.2 for Maitland (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kahibah are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 2.10 for Maitland.

Kahibah vs Maitland Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Match Preview & Prediction

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