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Broadmeadow Magic vs Kahibah Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 03:00

Broadmeadow Magic

PPG 2.33 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Kahibah

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 78.3% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.1%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.6%1-13.9%1-22.1%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.3%2-16.8%2-23.7%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.3%3-17.9%3-24.3%3-31.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-015.6%4+-116.9%4+-29.2%4+-33.3%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.0% 76.9% 1.30 -7.7%

Draw 15.9% 20.0% 5.00 -12.3%

Away win 13.1% 15.4% 6.50 -8.9%

Over 2.5 73.5% 78.1% 1.28 -5.9%

Over 3.5 54.0% 65.8% 1.52 -17.9%

BTTS 62.9% 69.4% 1.44 -9.4%

Home O1.5 78.3% 85.5% 1.17 -8.4%

Away O1.5 35.4% 37.3% 2.68 -5.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 24%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob62.9%

H 71% / xG 3.5-1.1 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.9%

#2 3–0 7.3%

#3 4–1 6.9%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 4–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Broadmeadow Magic3.5

Kahibah1.1

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.5% · O3.5 PROB 54.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BROADMEADOW MAGIC · PPG 2.33

KAHIBAH · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.41 for Home, form 2.33 vs 0.70 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Broadmeadow Magic (H) 71.0%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -7.7%

Draw 15.9%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -12.3%

Kahibah (A) 13.1%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV -8.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Broadmeadow Magic face Kahibah in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Broadmeadow Magic a 71% chance, the draw 16% and Kahibah 13%, so Broadmeadow Magic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Broadmeadow Magic and 1.1 for Kahibah (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Broadmeadow Magic are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.70 for Kahibah. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +2.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Broadmeadow Magic vs Kahibah Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW

Match Preview & Prediction

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