Barracas C. vs Belgrano Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Apertura - 15 Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia· Barracas Monday, April 20, 2026 18:00

Barracas C. PPG 1.67

0-0 HIT CS2

Belgrano PPG 1.57

Home· +99.2% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Barracas C. face Belgrano in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Barracas C. a 57% chance, the draw 28% and Belgrano 16%, so Barracas C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Barracas C. and 0.6 for Belgrano (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Barracas C. are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.57 for Belgrano. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +99.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.9%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +99.2%

Draw 27.6%

Odds: 2.98 EV: -17.8%

Away 15.5%

Odds: 2.24 EV: -65.3%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 31.8% Odds: 2.70 -14.1%

Over 3.5 13.9% Odds: 5.50 -23.5%

BTTS 33.3% Odds: 2.15 -28.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Barracas C.

1.40

Belgrano

0.58

Model SuggestionHome +99.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 69%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -36.4%

Bet Hit 31% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.57)