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Rockdale Ilinden U20 vs Wollongong Wolves U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 28 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 03:00

Rockdale Ilinden U20

PPG 1.46 · HOME

UPCOMING

Wollongong Wolves U20

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-15.2%0-24.5%0-32.6%0-4+1.7%1 1-05.3%1-19.2%1-28.0%1-34.6%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.8%3-14.8%3-24.2%3-32.4%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.2%4+-22.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 34.0% — — —

Over 2.5 66.4% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.3%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rockdale Ilinden U201.8

Wollongong Wolves U201.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ROCKDALE ILINDEN U20 · PPG 1.46

WOLLONGONG WOLVES U20 · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rockdale Ilinden U20 (H) 44.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wollongong Wolves U20 (A) 34.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rockdale Ilinden U20 face Wollongong Wolves U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rockdale Ilinden U20 a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Wollongong Wolves U20 34%, so Rockdale Ilinden U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Rockdale Ilinden U20 and 1.7 for Wollongong Wolves U20 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rockdale Ilinden U20 are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.43 for Wollongong Wolves U20.

Rockdale Ilinden U20 vs Wollongong Wolves U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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