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Sydney FC U20 vs St. George City U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 28 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 07:30

Sydney FC U20

PPG 1.69 · HOME

UPCOMING

St. George City U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.9%0-20.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-01.6%1-13.1%1-23.1%1-32.1%1-4+1.7%2 2-02.6%2-15.3%2-25.3%2-33.5%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.0%3-15.9%3-25.9%3-34.0%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-111.8%4+-211.8%4+-37.9%4+-4+6.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.1% — — —

Draw 17.3% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 81.4% — — —

Over 3.5 58.6% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob69.4%

H 58% / xG 3.4-2.0 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 5.9%

#2 3–1 5.9%

#3 2–2 5.3%

#4 2–1 5.3%

#5 4–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney FC U203.4

St. George City U202.0

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.4% · O3.5 PROB 58.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY FC U20 · PPG 1.69

ST. GEORGE CITY U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.37 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sydney FC U20 (H) 58.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

St. George City U20 (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney FC U20 face St. George City U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney FC U20 a 58% chance, the draw 17% and St. George City U20 25%, so Sydney FC U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Sydney FC U20 and 2.0 for St. George City U20 (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney FC U20 are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.00 for St. George City U20.

Sydney FC U20 vs St. George City U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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