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Wollongong Wolves U20 vs Sydney Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 27 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 03:00

Wollongong Wolves U20

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sydney Utd U20

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-12.2%0-23.0%0-32.8%0-4+4.0%1 1-01.6%1-14.4%1-26.2%1-35.8%1-4+8.2%2 2-01.6%2-14.6%2-26.4%2-36.0%2-4+8.4%3 3-01.1%3-13.1%3-24.4%3-34.1%3-4+5.8%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.6%4+-23.7%4+-33.4%4+-4+4.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 43.7% — — —

Over 2.5 73.0% — — —

Over 3.5 52.7% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 61.2% — — —

Away O1.5 65.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob69.6%

A 44% / xG 2.1-2.8 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.4%

#2 1–2 6.2%

#3 2–3 6.0%

#4 1–3✓ 5.8%

#5 1–1 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wollongong Wolves U202.1

Sydney Utd U202.8

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.7%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLLONGONG WOLVES U20 · PPG 1.50

SYDNEY UTD U20 · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.75 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Wollongong Wolves U20 (H) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sydney Utd U20 (A) 43.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wollongong Wolves U20 face Sydney Utd U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wollongong Wolves U20 a 35% chance, the draw 21% and Sydney Utd U20 44%, so Sydney Utd U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Wollongong Wolves U20 and 2.8 for Sydney Utd U20 (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wollongong Wolves U20 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.92 for Sydney Utd U20. This match finished 1-3.

Wollongong Wolves U20 vs Sydney Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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