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APIA Leichhardt U20 vs SD Raiders U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 08:15

APIA Leichhardt U20

PPG 2.77 · HOME

UPCOMING

SD Raiders U20

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.62 for Home, form 2.77 vs 1.25 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-13.0%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.7%1-17.5%1-23.3%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.8%2-19.4%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.0%3-17.8%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-18.7%4+-23.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.8% — — —

Draw 19.8% — — —

Away win 21.4% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.3% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 22.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 59% / xG 2.5-0.9 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 3–0 9.0%

#4 1–1 7.5%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

APIA Leichhardt U202.5

SD Raiders U200.9

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

APIA LEICHHARDT U20 · PPG 2.77

SD RAIDERS U20 · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.62 for Home, form 2.77 vs 1.25 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

APIA Leichhardt U20 (H) 58.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SD Raiders U20 (A) 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

APIA Leichhardt U20 face SD Raiders U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives APIA Leichhardt U20 a 59% chance, the draw 20% and SD Raiders U20 21%, so APIA Leichhardt U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for APIA Leichhardt U20 and 0.9 for SD Raiders U20 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, APIA Leichhardt U20 are averaging 2.77 points per game versus 1.25 for SD Raiders U20.

APIA Leichhardt U20 vs SD Raiders U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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