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Marconi S. U20 vs Sutherland Sharks U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 28 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 03:00

Marconi S. U20

PPG 2.15 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sutherland Sharks U20

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-15.3%0-22.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.1%1-110.3%1-25.3%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.9%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.3%3-16.4%3-23.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-14.8%4+-22.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.2% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 22.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 31.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.5%

H 55% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.7%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 0–0 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marconi S. U201.9

Sutherland Sharks U201.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MARCONI S. U20 · PPG 2.15

SUTHERLAND SHARKS U20 · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.91 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Marconi S. U20 (H) 55.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sutherland Sharks U20 (A) 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Marconi S. U20 face Sutherland Sharks U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marconi S. U20 a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Sutherland Sharks U20 22%, so Marconi S. U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Marconi S. U20 and 1.0 for Sutherland Sharks U20 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marconi S. U20 are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 1.43 for Sutherland Sharks U20.

Marconi S. U20 vs Sutherland Sharks U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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