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WS Wanderers U20 vs St George Saints U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 07:00

WS Wanderers U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

St George Saints U20

PPG 0.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.2%0-21.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-03.9%1-16.0%1-24.7%1-32.4%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.2%2-18.1%2-26.3%2-33.2%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.7%3-17.2%3-25.6%3-32.9%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-19.3%4+-27.2%4+-33.7%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.0% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.3%

H 55% / xG 2.7-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.1%

#2 3–1 7.2%

#3 1–1 6.0%

#4 2–2 6.3%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

WS Wanderers U202.7

St George Saints U201.6

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

WS WANDERERS U20 · PPG 1.00

ST GEORGE SAINTS U20 · PPG 0.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.13 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

WS Wanderers U20 (H) 55.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

St George Saints U20 (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

WS Wanderers U20 face St George Saints U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives WS Wanderers U20 a 55% chance, the draw 21% and St George Saints U20 24%, so WS Wanderers U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for WS Wanderers U20 and 1.6 for St George Saints U20 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, WS Wanderers U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.31 for St George Saints U20.

WS Wanderers U20 vs St George Saints U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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