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Manly Utd U20 vs NWS Spirit U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 09:00

Manly Utd U20

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

NWS Spirit U20

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.5%0-23.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.0%1-19.3%1-26.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.0%3-16.5%3-24.3%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-15.4%4+-23.6%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.4% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.6% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.6%

H 53% / xG 2.1-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Manly Utd U202.1

NWS Spirit U201.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MANLY UTD U20 · PPG 2.14

NWS SPIRIT U20 · PPG 1.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.74 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Manly Utd U20 (H) 53.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

NWS Spirit U20 (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Manly Utd U20 face NWS Spirit U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manly Utd U20 a 53% chance, the draw 23% and NWS Spirit U20 24%, so Manly Utd U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Manly Utd U20 and 1.3 for NWS Spirit U20 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manly Utd U20 are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.77 for NWS Spirit U20.

Manly Utd U20 vs NWS Spirit U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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