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Sydney Olympic U20 vs Sydney Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 28 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 09:00

Sydney Olympic U20

PPG 0.18 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sydney Utd U20

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -2.71 for Away, form 0.18 vs 2.00

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-13.3%0-26.1%0-37.6%0-4+18.6%1 1-00.9%1-13.3%1-26.2%1-37.7%1-4+18.7%2 2-00.4%2-11.7%2-23.1%2-33.8%2-4+9.4%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-21.0%3-31.3%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.9% — — —

Draw 15.9% — — —

Away win 70.2% — — —

Over 2.5 71.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.2% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 86.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 76%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)3.7 BTTS prob61.6%

A 70% / xG 1.0-3.7 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.7%

#2 0–3 7.6%

#3 1–4 7.1%

#4 0–4 7.1%

#5 1–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney Olympic U201.0

Sydney Utd U203.7

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY OLYMPIC U20 · PPG 0.18

SYDNEY UTD U20 · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.71 for Away, form 0.18 vs 2.00

Win probability 1X2

Sydney Olympic U20 (H) 13.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sydney Utd U20 (A) 70.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney Olympic U20 face Sydney Utd U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney Olympic U20 a 14% chance, the draw 16% and Sydney Utd U20 70%, so Sydney Utd U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Sydney Olympic U20 and 3.7 for Sydney Utd U20 (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney Olympic U20 are averaging 0.18 points per game versus 2.00 for Sydney Utd U20.

Sydney Olympic U20 vs Sydney Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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