Today / India - Indian Super League / Kerala Blasters vs NorthEast Utd

Kerala Blasters vs NorthEast Utd Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Kerala Blasters

PPG 0.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

NorthEast Utd

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-111.9%0-27.1%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.1%1-113.2%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.1%2-17.3%2-24.4%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.3%3-12.7%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.8% 39.2% 2.55 -13.8%

Draw 28.3% 32.3% 3.10 -12.3%

Away win 38.0% 38.5% 2.60 -1.2%

Over 2.5 40.6% 45.5% 2.20 -10.7%

Over 3.5 20.2% 25.0% 4.00 -19.2%

BTTS 46.8% 54.6% 1.83 -14.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob46.8%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.2%

#2 0–1 11.9%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 0–0 10.0%

#5 1–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kerala Blasters1.1

NorthEast Utd1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.6% · O3.5 PROB 20.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KERALA BLASTERS · PPG 0.00

NORTHEAST UTD · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Kerala Blasters (H) 33.8%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -13.8%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -12.3%

NorthEast Utd (A) 38.0%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -1.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kerala Blasters face NorthEast Utd in India - Indian Super League on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kerala Blasters a 34% chance, the draw 28% and NorthEast Utd 38%, so NorthEast Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kerala Blasters and 1.2 for NorthEast Utd (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kerala Blasters are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.75 for NorthEast Utd. This match finished 1-1.

Kerala Blasters vs NorthEast Utd Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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