Today / Belgium - Reserve Pro League / Kortrijk U21 vs F. Borains U21

Kortrijk U21 vs F. Borains U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Regular Season - 23 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 17:30

Kortrijk U21

PPG 1.90 · HOME

8 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

F. Borains U21

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.4%0-20.3%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-01.3%1-11.9%1-21.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.3%2 2-02.9%2-14.1%2-23.0%2-31.4%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.2%3-16.0%3-24.3%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-014.9%4+-121.6%4+-215.6%4+-37.5%4+-4+3.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 84.7% — — —

Draw 8.4% — — —

Away win 6.9% — — —

Over 2.5 92.9% — — —

Over 3.5 83.1% — — —

BTTS 75.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5 94%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 41.4%

Bet Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 8-2

xG (home)4.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob75.5%

H 85% / xG 4.4-1.4 / O2.5 93% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.6%

#2 3–1 6.0%

#3 5–1 5.7%

#4 4–2 4.7%

#5 4–0 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kortrijk U214.4

F. Borains U211.4

COMBINED 5.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 92.9% · O3.5 PROB 83.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KORTRIJK U21 · PPG 1.90

F. BORAINS U21 · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.90), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kortrijk U21 (H) 84.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 8.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

F. Borains U21 (A) 6.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kortrijk U21 face F. Borains U21 in Belgium - Reserve Pro League on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kortrijk U21 a 85% chance, the draw 8% and F. Borains U21 7%, so Kortrijk U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.4 for Kortrijk U21 and 1.4 for F. Borains U21 (5.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 93% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kortrijk U21 are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 0.60 for F. Borains U21. This match finished 8-2.

Kortrijk U21 vs F. Borains U21 Prediction— Belgium - Reserve Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Belgium - Reserve Pro League Predictions