Gaziantep vs Kayserispor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 30 Gaziantep Stadyumu· Gaziantep Monday, April 20, 2026 17:00

Gaziantep PPG 1.21

3-0 HIT CS5

Kayserispor PPG 0.73

Home· +46.3% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Gaziantep face Kayserispor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gaziantep a 66% chance, the draw 20% and Kayserispor 14%, so Gaziantep are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Gaziantep and 0.8 for Kayserispor (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gaziantep are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 0.73 for Kayserispor. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +46.3%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.9%

Odds: 2.22 EV: +46.3%

Draw 19.9%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -31.3%

Away 14.2%

Odds: 3.05 EV: -56.7%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.6% Odds: 1.70 -5.5%

Over 3.5 33.3% Odds: 2.75 -8.4%

BTTS 49.6% Odds: 1.57 -22.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Gaziantep

2.07

Kayserispor

0.84

Model SuggestionHome +46.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.21) > Away POOR (0.73)