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Westchester SC vs Naples Prediction— USA - USL League One

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 23:00

Westchester SC

PPG 1.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

Naples

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.61 for Home, form 1.89 vs 0.44 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-13.3%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.3%1-17.9%1-23.0%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.3%2-19.3%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.7%3-17.4%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-17.7%4+-22.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.4% — — —

Draw 19.8% — — —

Away win 14.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 8.7%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.1%

H 65% / xG 2.4-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.3%

#2 3–0 9.7%

#3 2–1 9.3%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 1–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Westchester SC2.4

Naples0.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

WESTCHESTER SC · PPG 1.89

NAPLES · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.61 for Home, form 1.89 vs 0.44 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Westchester SC (H) 65.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Naples (A) 14.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Westchester SC face Naples in USA - USL League One on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Westchester SC a 65% chance, the draw 20% and Naples 15%, so Westchester SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Westchester SC and 0.8 for Naples (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Westchester SC are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.44 for Naples.

Westchester SC vs Naples Prediction— USA - USL League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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