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Internacional RS W vs Ferroviaria W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 22:00

Internacional RS W

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ferroviaria W

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.8%0-113.4%0-25.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.6%1-113.2%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.2%2-16.5%2-22.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.7%3-12.2%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% 26.3% 3.80 +49.0%

Draw 32.8% 32.3% 3.10 +1.7%

Away win 28.0% 51.3% 1.95 -27.2%

Over 2.5 34.4% 47.6% 2.10 -27.8%

Over 3.5 17.7% 26.7% 3.75 -20.2%

BTTS 44.8% 54.6% 1.83 -18.0%

Home O1.5 30.2% 29.9% 3.35 +1.2%

Away O1.5 20.9% 47.6% 2.10 -33.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -52.9%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.8%

H 39% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.8%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.6%

#4 0–1 13.4%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Internacional RS W1.0

Ferroviaria W0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.4% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

INTERNACIONAL RS W · PPG 1.43

FERROVIARIA W · PPG 1.29

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.19, combined xG 1.79 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Internacional RS W (H) 39.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +49.0%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +1.7%

Ferroviaria W (A) 28.0%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -27.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Internacional RS W face Ferroviaria W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Internacional RS W a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Ferroviaria W 28%, so Internacional RS W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Internacional RS W and 0.8 for Ferroviaria W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Internacional RS W are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.29 for Ferroviaria W. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +8.3%.

Internacional RS W vs Ferroviaria W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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