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Vitória BA W vs Internacional RS W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 15 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 18:00

Vitória BA W

PPG 0.83 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Internacional RS W

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.88 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-114.3%0-211.9%0-36.7%0-4+4.0%1 1-06.7%1-111.3%1-29.4%1-35.2%1-4+3.2%2 2-02.7%2-14.4%2-23.7%2-32.1%2-4+1.3%3 3-00.7%3-11.2%3-21.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.4% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 50.9% — — —

Over 2.5 51.7% — — —

Over 3.5 29.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -52.9%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob53.1%

A 51% / xG 0.8-1.7 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 0–1 14.3%

#3 0–2 11.9%

#4 0–0 8.6%

#5 1–2 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitória BA W0.8

Internacional RS W1.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.7% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VITÓRIA BA W · PPG 0.83

INTERNACIONAL RS W · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.88 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Vitória BA W (H) 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Internacional RS W (A) 50.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitória BA W face Internacional RS W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitória BA W a 24% chance, the draw 25% and Internacional RS W 51%, so Internacional RS W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Vitória BA W and 1.7 for Internacional RS W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitória BA W are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.86 for Internacional RS W. This match finished 2-2.

Vitória BA W vs Internacional RS W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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