Today / Brazil - Brasileiro Women / Mixto W vs Cruzeiro W

Mixto W vs Cruzeiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 21:00

Mixto W logo
Mixto W
PPG 1.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Cruzeiro W logo
Cruzeiro W
PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-116.0%0-211.0%0-35.0%0-4+2.3%1 1-09.0%1-112.4%1-28.5%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-03.5%2-14.8%2-23.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.9%3-11.2%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.4%
Draw 29.0%
Away win 43.6%
Over 2.5 42.7%
Over 3.5 21.1%
BTTS 47.7%
Home O1.5 30.2%
Away O1.5 42.6%

League track record

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 57%
BTTS 60%
Score Hit 54%
ROI -52.9%
Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob47.7%

A 44% / xG 0.8-1.4 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%
#2 0–1 16.0%
#3 0–0 11.7%
#4 0–2 11.0%
#5 1–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mixto W0.8
Cruzeiro W1.4

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MIXTO W · PPG 1.00

CRUZEIRO W · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -0.60 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Mixto W (H) 27.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 29.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Cruzeiro W (A) 43.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mixto W face Cruzeiro W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mixto W a 27% chance, the draw 29% and Cruzeiro W 44%, so Cruzeiro W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Mixto W and 1.4 for Cruzeiro W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mixto W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Cruzeiro W.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org