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Botafogo W vs Fluminense W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 15 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 21:00

Botafogo W

PPG 0.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fluminense W

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-113.6%0-210.8%0-35.7%0-4+3.2%1 1-07.4%1-111.8%1-29.4%1-35.0%1-4+2.8%2 2-03.2%2-15.2%2-24.1%2-32.2%2-4+1.2%3 3-00.9%3-11.5%3-21.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.1% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 50.9% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 51.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 47.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -52.9%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob51.2%

A 51% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 0–1 13.6%

#3 0–2 10.8%

#4 0–0 8.5%

#5 1–2 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Botafogo W0.9

Fluminense W1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BOTAFOGO W · PPG 0.83

FLUMINENSE W · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.72 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Botafogo W (H) 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fluminense W (A) 50.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Botafogo W face Fluminense W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Botafogo W a 24% chance, the draw 25% and Fluminense W 51%, so Fluminense W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Botafogo W and 1.6 for Fluminense W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Botafogo W are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.14 for Fluminense W.

Botafogo W vs Fluminense W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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