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Juventude W vs Mixto W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 15 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 18:00

Juventude W

PPG 0.67 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Mixto W

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.5%0-111.2%0-23.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.3%1-111.6%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.1%2-16.0%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.8%3-12.1%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 31.8% — — —

Away win 20.2% — — —

Over 2.5 34.8% — — —

Over 3.5 18.1% — — —

BTTS 44.9% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -52.9%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.9%

H 48% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.5%

#2 1–0 21.3%

#3 1–1 11.6%

#4 2–0 11.1%

#5 0–1✓ 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventude W1.0

Mixto W0.5

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUDE W · PPG 0.67

MIXTO W · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.49, combined xG 1.58 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Juventude W (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mixto W (A) 20.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventude W face Mixto W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventude W a 48% chance, the draw 32% and Mixto W 20%, so Juventude W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Juventude W and 0.5 for Mixto W (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventude W are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.29 for Mixto W. This match finished 0-1.

Juventude W vs Mixto W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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